GBP/JPY Forecast: Pound Under Pressure But Still Sees Buyers

Brace yourself for volatility, but keep your eyes on the upside potential, as the British pound looks ready to move.

  • The British pound faced initial setbacks against the Japanese yen in Thursday's trading session, indicating continued downward pressure.
  • However, if the crucial ¥172.50 level is breached, it is highly likely that the currency pair will set its sights on the ¥175 level.
  • This particular level holds significant psychological importance, suggesting that market reaction is expected in that vicinity.

"Buy on the Dip" Mentality

Conversely, there is substantial support around the ¥170 level, which is not only a large, round figure but also a psychologically significant area that has previously witnessed market activity. In the short term, ¥170 seems to serve as a solid support level, acting as a temporary floor. Market sentiment leans towards a "buy on the dip" mentality, making it extremely challenging to take a short position.

A noteworthy factor driving the British pound is the substantial interest rate differential between the two currencies, attracting considerable investment for the carry trade. This renewed interest in the carry trade further strengthens the appeal of the British pound. It is important to emphasize that the recent breakout above the significant pullback level has set the stage for further upward pressure.

Volatility is a common characteristic of the GBP/JPY currency pair. Traders should exercise caution in determining their position size and be prepared to weather significant noise. Nonetheless, it is anticipated that the ¥175 level will be reached sooner rather than later. In essence, the market resembles a beach ball being held underwater, waiting to burst upward once it surpasses the resistance. The inertia will eventually have to give way to release, and it looks like that day is coming soon.

As the British pound strives to regain its strength against the Japanese yen, traders can expect a rollercoaster ride of price fluctuations. However, these developments offer potential opportunities for profit. While the market may be noisy, astute traders should remain focused and adaptable, capitalizing on the potential upsides while managing their risk effectively.

In Conclusion

The British pound faces initial challenges against the Japanese yen, yet an upward trajectory appears imminent. Key resistance and support levels play a crucial role in determining the next moves for this currency pair. With the interest rate differential favoring the British pound and the recent breakout confirming bullish sentiments, traders can anticipate a potential surge towards the ¥175 level. Brace yourself for volatility, but keep your eyes on the upside potential, as the British pound looks ready to move.

GBP/JPY chart

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Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex for several years. He writes about Forex for many online publications, including his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy.