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EUR/USD Forecast: Continues to Look Higher, But Faces Several Potential Landmines

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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The first couple of days this week may be quiet, but we should expect a lot of increased volatility later in the week.

  • The EUR/USD has been consolidating around the 1.10 level in recent trading sessions, with a lot of noise to chew through.
  • The 50-Day EMA is racing towards the 1.09 level, which could provide significant support for the currency.

If the Euro breaks higher, the next target would be the 1.1250 level. However, the market continues to be very noisy, with a shooting star on the weekly chart, which is a negative turn of events. It remains to be seen whether we get some type of impulsive candlestick to get the market moving.

This week could be the remedy for that, as we have the FOMC meeting featuring an interest rate decision on Wednesday, followed by the ECB's interest rate hike and statement on Thursday. This will make the market very noisy during the week, and we may continue to grind sideways and struggle for traction until the end of the week. We also must get through the Non-Farm Payroll announcement on Friday, which could add to the market's volatility.

Be Cautious

The first couple of days this week may be quiet, but we should expect a lot of increased volatility later in the week. It's unclear whether the market will take off in one direction or the other, but it's worth noting that buyers have been very resilient for some time, with occasional brutal selloffs on news or announcements in the economies.

The central bank meetings and the Non-Farm Payroll announcement will have a significant impact on the market, and unexpected events could cause significant changes in the currency's value. Any changes in American or European monetary policy or interest rates could also have an impact on the currency. Despite the noise and uncertainty in the market, there are still opportunities for investors to profit. Short-term traders may be able to take advantage of the market's volatility to make quick profits.

At the end of the day, the Euro has been consolidating around the 1.10 level, with a lot of noise to chew through. The central bank meetings and the Non-Farm Payroll announcement this week will have a significant impact on the market, and investors should stay informed and make informed investment decisions based on the latest information available. While there are still opportunities to profit, investors should be cautious and be prepared to adjust their positions as needed.

EUR/USD

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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