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Crude Oil Forecast: Crude Oil Continues to Recover

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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The crude oil markets are still volatile, and unexpected events could quickly reverse any gains.

After weeks of significant declines in the oil markets, it appears that a rebound may be on the horizon. Both the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent markets saw rallies during the most recent trading session, and analysts are beginning to take notice.

US Crude Oil Outlook

  • For WTI, the market looks to have formed a “double bottom” and bounced off a technical support level of $65 multiple times.
  • While it’s too early to say if this is the bottom, the market has certainly seen a significant turnaround.
  • However, caution is still advised, with traders likely to fade rallies that show signs of exhaustion, particularly as we approach the 50-Day EMA.

WTI Crude Oil Chart

UK Crude Oil Outlook

  • Similarly, the Brent market has rallied above the $75 level, finding support at $70 before bouncing back.
  • As with WTI, it’s likely that the market will be a “fade the rally” situation, but buyers may take advantage of the current low prices and jump into the market.
  • The 50-Day EMA is likely to be a resistance barrier going forward, and traders will need to keep an eye on it.

While these signs of recovery are welcome news for oil traders, it’s important to remember that the markets are still volatile and subject to change. The current rebound may not last, and it’s possible that the downward trend will continue.

Factors such as increased production from OPEC+ countries, a slowdown in global economic growth, and the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic could all contribute to further declines in the oil markets. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and unforeseen events such as natural disasters could also impact the markets.

Traders and investors should remain cautious and keep an eye on key Forex technical indicators and levels to help guide their decision-making. While there may be opportunities to take advantage of the current market conditions, it’s important to balance risk and reward and not overextend oneself in this type of environment. Confusion and concern continue to be a major issue for traders.

At the end of the day, while recent rallies in the oil markets are a positive sign, traders and investors must exercise caution and not let optimism cloud their judgement. The markets are still volatile, and unexpected events could quickly reverse any gains. By staying vigilant and sticking to a sound trading strategy, traders can navigate the current market conditions and potentially profit from them.

Brent Crude Oil chart

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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