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Natural Gas Forecast: Continues to Grind Away into Warmer Temperatures

Natural gas consumption increases in the winter season, which is not favorable for the market. 

  • The natural gas market is presently trading between $2.00 and $3.00, with traders keeping a close eye on the 50-Day EMA, which is a trend-defining indicator.
  • If the market breaks above the 50-Day EMA, it could potentially reach the psychologically significant figure of $3.00, where some selling is likely recently.
  • However, it is unlikely that the market will show such a bullish sign anytime soon.

Natural gas consumption increases in the winter season, which is not favorable for the market. Additionally, the current state of the global economy has led to a decline in the value and demand for natural gas, as many power plants rely on natural gas for electricity production. With the lack of global growth seemingly being the case, it does make sense that natural gas will struggle. Furthermore, there are currently no concerns in the European Union, but it is possible that later this year, the European Union will need to step into the market and start picking up energy to refill their stocks. In other words, we may have some time to go before the bulls can get excited about the natural gas markets and start putting money to work.

Short-term fluctuations are anticipated as the market tries to determine its course. The market is expected to hover around a $1.00 range throughout the spring and summer in the northern hemisphere. If the market falls below $2.00, the short-term support level would be around $1.80, likely the floor for the next several months.

Be Prepared for Potential Fluctuations

At the end of the day, natural gas markets are presently trading between $2.00 and $3.00, and traders are monitoring the 50-Day EMA, but it seems unlikely that the market will breach the $3.00 level anytime soon. The winter season is usually unfavorable for natural gas, and the global economy's state has led to a decline in demand and value. The market is expected to be around $1.00 throughout spring and summer, and the short-term support level would be around $1.80 if the market falls below $2.00.

Despite the current state of the market, a break above $3.00 could lead to a massive, short squeeze. Traders should monitor market developments and be prepared for potential fluctuations. In conclusion, natural gas markets are expected to be relatively stable throughout the spring and summer, with short-term support at $1.80 if the market falls below $2.00. The winter season is generally not favorable for natural gas, and the current state of the global economy has led to a decline in demand and value. While a break above $3.00 is unlikely anytime soon, traders should be prepared for potential fluctuations and market developments that could lead to a massive, short squeeze.

Natural GasReady to trade Natural Gas Forex? We’ve made a list of the best commodity trading brokers worth trading with.

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex for several years. He writes about Forex for many online publications, including his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy.

 

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