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GBP/USD Forecast: Consolidates into the Holiday

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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The 50-Day EMA sits right around the 1.20 level, with the 200-Day EMA just below it.

  • The GBP/USD has been relatively stagnant during Thursday's trading session, sitting just below the crucial 1.25 level while remaining above the critical 1.24 level.
  • This means that the market is stuck between two significant levels, requiring traders to pay close attention.
  • It's likely that the market will decide whether it will consolidate further or make a move from its current position.

Breaking significantly above the 1.25 level would be the most obvious move, triggering the next leg higher and potentially opening the possibility of a move all the way to the 1.2750 level. However, if the market turns around and breaks below the 1.24 level on a daily close, it may indicate a move toward several support levels beneath it.

The 50-Day EMA sits right around the 1.20 level, with the 200-Day EMA just below it. Despite this, the British pound has been one of the best-performing currencies this year, indicating that it may continue to perform well in the future. If the market does break down through the 1.24 level, it is likely to be in tandem with US dollar strength in general. This means that even if traders are solely focused on this pair, it could be an excellent indicator of where the greenback is going in general.

The Market is Expected to Remain Choppy

On the upside, breaking out could cause the US dollar to continue to see a lot of negativities going forward. However, the market is expected to remain choppy, particularly with Friday being Good Friday and half of the European banks being closed on Monday, creating a lack of liquidity at times. As a result, traders should exercise caution during this period, avoiding putting too much money into this market, but using it as an indicator for the next few weeks.

Ultimately, the British pound has remained stagnant during Thursday's trading session, stuck between two significant levels. While breaking above the 1.25 level would trigger the next leg higher, breaking below the 1.24 level may indicate a move toward several support levels. Despite the potential challenges, the British pound has been one of the best-performing currencies this year, suggesting a continued strong performance in the future. However, the market is expected to remain choppy, and traders should be cautious during the upcoming bank holidays. Ultimately, traders should stay up to date with the latest developments and adjust their strategies accordingly.

GBP/USD

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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