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EUR/USD Forecast: Continues to See Support but a Ceiling Looms Above

The market is currently trying to decide whether the US dollar will continue to sell off or if it has peaked, making it difficult to predict market trends.

  • The EUR/USD experienced a pullback during Wednesday's trading session, although there is still a lot of market noise around the 1.09 level, which is a significant psychological area that has seen a lot of recent activity.
  • Similarly, there is also a lot of noise above near the 1.10 level, which is reminiscent of the GBP/USD pair.
  • The market is currently trying to decide whether the US dollar will continue to sell off or if it has peaked, making it difficult to predict market trends.

PMI numbers are set to come out on Friday, and it is expected that the market will continue to hover around its current level for some time, resulting in a sideways chop over the next few days. A break below the 1.09 level could open the possibility of a drop to the 1.08 level, followed quickly by the 50-Day EMA. Conversely, if the market turns around and rallies from here, it will need to take out the high to become super bullish, with the potential to reach the 1.1250 level, and possibly even as high as the 1.15 level over the longer term.

The Euro has Experienced a Pullback

The European Central Bank (ECB) is still during its tightening cycle, while it is generally believed that the Federal Reserve is coming to an end. This has caused traders to anticipate changes and jump ahead of the Federal Reserve. However, if the Federal Reserve does start to cut, this could lead to Euro spikes in the short term, followed by a potential rush toward the safety of treasuries, which may cause the Euro to crumble.

In conclusion, the Euro has experienced a pullback, but the market is still noisy near the 1.09 and 1.10 levels. The market is currently in a state of flux, as traders are trying to predict whether the US dollar will continue to sell off or has peaked. Upcoming PMI numbers may lead to more sideways chop, and a break below the 1.09 level could lead to a drop to the 1.08 level, while a rally could lead to a bullish trend to the 1.1250 or even 1.15 level over the longer term. Traders should also be aware of the ongoing ECB tightening cycle and the potential changes in the Federal Reserve, as these factors could impact the Euro's long-term trends.

EUR/USD

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex for several years. He writes about Forex for many online publications, including his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy.

 

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