Crude Oil Forecast: Attempting to Rally on Monday

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WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)

• The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil market has been seeing a lot of noisy behavior lately but it seems to have found some support near the 50-Day EMA.
• Gaps tend to offer support, and it does make sense for buyers to step in at this point.
• In the short term, this market is expected to bounce around in the vicinity, but if it breaks below the $75 level, we could see a drastic sell-off.

OPEC has cut 1.6 million barrels per day from production, which initially led to the gap. However, the question now is whether OPEC's actions can influence the price or whether the lack of demand will overcome the market.

Brent (UK Oil)

Brent crude oil is currently trying to find support at the previous gap, but unlike WTI, it's below the 50-Day EMA. The $80 level is not only a psychologically important level in this market, but it's also where the gap took off from, so it can be seen as a short-term floor. If it breaks down below that level, then the market could be looking at the $75 level, possibly even the $72.50 level. On the other hand, if Brent crude oil rallies from here, the $84 level will be a significant resistance level. If it breaks above that level, the market could be heading towards the 200-Day EMA, which is located around the $87 level. If it breaks above that level, it could open up the possibility of reaching $90, which would represent a much bigger move.

The next few days will be crucial in determining the longer-term trend for both WTI and Brent crude oil. It is expected that the market will continue to see a lot of noisy behavior as traders try to figure out if OPEC's actions can influence the price or if a lack of demand will overcome the market. It is important to keep an eye on the prices of both WTI and Brent crude oil as they are the most heavily traded crude oil grades in the world and serve as pricing benchmarks for major portions of the global oil supply. In addition, it's worth noting that crude oil is the most important commodity and emerging industrial markets such as China, India, and Latin America greatly influence the price of oil.

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