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GBP/USD Forecast: BoE showing signs of hawkishness

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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Despite the potential for significant price swings, caution is essential as there is a lot of uncertainty in the market.

  • The GBP/USD demonstrated some upward momentum during Tuesday's trading session, approaching the 50-Day EMA, which is a critical indicator for many traders.
  • As a result, it's expected that the market will react in some way. Additionally, the 200-Day EMA is just above the 50-Day EMA, which implies that there will be a considerable amount of resistance in that area.
  • There has been a lot of structural resistance over the past few weeks, so the market may consolidate in this area to determine its longer-term trajectory.

Recently, the British pound has received a boost due to comments from some members of the Bank of England indicating that they may need to maintain a tight monetary policy for an extended period. Nonetheless, the market is expected to remain very noisy and unpredictable, with a well-defined range. Because of this, shorter-term trades will probably more likely than not end up being a fact of life when it comes to trading Sterling.

Be Cautious

However, the 1.22 level appears to be challenging to overcome, and a substantial effort and fundamental reason will be required to break through it. Alternatively, if the market breaks above the double top at the 1.24 level, it could be threatened. If this happens, the double top will serve as either a target or a barrier. There is a lot of noise above the 1.24 level, extending to the psychologically significant 1.25 level. It's worth noting that the market had pulled back from the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of last year's significant decline, which may lead to further volatility. The volatility of course can lead to more chances to make money, but it also makes the market much more dangerous, something that I am seen in almost everything that I follow at the moment, not just the British pound which of course is a victim of circumstances when it comes to so much global uncertainty.

Despite the potential for significant price swings, caution is essential as there is a lot of uncertainty in the market. Traders should approach the market with a level head and focus on risk management strategies to ensure that they are not taking unnecessary risks. While the British pound may continue to experience upward momentum in the short term, the longer-term outlook remains uncertain. As a result, traders should remain vigilant and attentive to the market's movement.

GBP/USD

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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