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EUR/USD Forecast: Shows Tentative Buying

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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It is worth noting that the Euro has been under pressure in recent weeks due to a surge in COVID-19 cases in Europe, leading to stricter lockdown measures and concerns about economic recovery.

  • The EUR/USD showed some bullish behavior during Thursday's trading session, rallying a bit to break back above the 1.06 level.
  • However, after the market's beating during Wednesday's session, it is difficult to imagine that the Euro will suddenly take off to the upside.
  • The 200-Day EMA offered support during the previous session, which could provide some stability for the Euro.
  • However, a break below that candlestick could signal a significant move to the downside.

Taking out the top of the candlestick for Wednesday's session would be a very bullish sign, but it would require a significant effort as many traders are concerned about the global economy's strength. The US dollar continues to be an attractive asset, especially as the bond market attracts inflows that require US dollars.

The massive candlestick seen on Wednesday suggests that there could be a follow-through soon, indicating that many sellers are willing to get involved. A break below the 200-Day EMA could target the 1.03 level, followed by a potential drop to the parity level.

Market Continues to Exhibit a lot of Volatility

In the event of an upside breakout, the Euro could go as high as the 1.10 level, but this seems unlikely at this point. The market continues to exhibit a lot of volatility more than anything else, with traders remaining cautious about the global economy's strength. Remember, there are a lot of moving pieces now, and volatility will continue to be an issue.

It is worth noting that the Euro has been under pressure in recent weeks due to a surge in COVID-19 cases in Europe, leading to stricter lockdown measures and concerns about economic recovery. Additionally, the European Central Bank's dovish stance on monetary policy has contributed to the Euro's weakness.

Ultimately, the Euro showed some bullish behavior during Thursday's trading session, but it remains to be seen whether it can maintain its gains. The 200-Day EMA provided support during the previous session, but a break below that level could signal a significant move to the downside. The US dollar continues to be an attractive asset, and a massive candlestick seen on Wednesday suggests that many sellers are willing to get involved. The Euro's weakness in recent weeks is due to a surge in COVID-19 cases and the European Central Bank's dovish stance on monetary policy. Overall, the market continues to exhibit a lot of volatility, and traders should remain cautious.

EUR/USD

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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