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GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Continues to See 1.20 As Crucial

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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Traders should be aware of the possibility of a major shot lower if the British pound breaks down below the 1.1850 level.

On Monday's trading session, the GBP/USD currency pair had tight trading, going back and forth. The 1.20 level is a significant and psychologically important level that many traders will be keeping an eye on, especially since it's an area that previously had been crucial. There is also a significant amount of support going down to the 1.1850 level, which was the most recent swing low. This area is worth watching since it can lead the way for where the British pound may head next.

GBP/USD Trading Opportunities

  • If the British pound breaks down below the 1.1850 level, then it's highly likely that we could see a major shot lower in the British pound.
  • There is an air pocket underneath, and it opens up the possibility of a move down to the 1.15 level, which is also psychologically significant and has seen significant resistance before.
  • Additionally, some traders argue that the pair is trying to form a significant "M pattern," with the double top sitting right around the 1.24 level.

The 50-Day EMA sits just above, about 100 pips higher than current trading. It's just underneath the 200-Day EMA, with both of them looking relatively flat. In this scenario, one would have to assume that those moving averages would be a significant dynamic resistance level. Thus, it's something that traders should be paying attention to. If the British pound moves above the 50-Day EMA and the 200-Day EMA, it opens up the possibility of an attempt to break above the shooting star from last week, which shows fierce resistance near the 1.2267 level.

In Summary

The British pound had tight trading on Monday, going back and forth. The 1.20 level is a significant and psychologically important level that traders will be watching. There is also significant support going down to the 1.1850 level, which is worth monitoring since it can lead the way for where the British pound may head next. Traders should be aware of the possibility of a major shot lower if the British pound breaks down below the 1.1850 level. The 50-Day EMA and the 200-Day EMA are potential dynamic resistance levels to watch. If the British pound manages to move above these levels, it may attempt to break above the shooting star from last week, which shows fierce resistance near the 1.2267 level. It's important to monitor these levels and events to make trading decisions.

GBP/USD chart

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Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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