The USD/INR is trading slightly above the 76.0000 level as of this writing. Speculators need to be ready for swift and choppy conditions to flourish throughout today and tomorrow as Forex traders anticipate the U.S. Federal Reserve pronouncements later tonight. Nervous trading in the USD/INR has been demonstrated the past five days as a rather strong and steady bullish run has transpired.
On the 18th of November, the USD/INR was slightly below the 74.0000 level, since then a rather progressive move higher has ensued. Certainly there have been occasional reversals lower - trading in Forex is never a one-way avenue - but the path has been rather durable as the USD/INR has broken through important resistance levels consistently.
Yesterday and today’s early price action has sustained short-term highs which are now coming within sight of long-term values. The last time the USD/INR was able to trade above its current price was in June of 2020. On the 15th of June, nearly a year and a half ago, the USD/INR touched the 76.4000 level momentarily. And in April of 2020, the USD/INR traded even higher and challenged the 77.0000 ratio briefly. It should be remembered those dates in April 2020 and the apex values in the USD/INR occurred when coronavirus implications were still trying to be understood for the first time economically.
The ability of the USD/INR to make resistance levels appear weak the past month and a half has the attention of speculators. Some traders may believe the USD/INR has been vastly overbought, but the market does not care about feelings of speculators. Wagering against the current trend needs to be done with extreme caution and with tonight’s U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy statement awaiting the global markets, now may be a good time to be patient and observe.
Trading conditions are almost guaranteed to be choppy in the coming hours with rapid changes of value being demonstrated in the USD/INR. The combination of high prices testing long-term resistance levels, the Fed’s policy news which will be delivered later and nervous conditions boiling globally in the equity markets will make the near term dangerous for all speculators.
Risk management is highly encouraged, along with proper stop loss and take profit positions working as trades are being made. New short term highs may be seen as the day progresses, and swift reversals lower could also be displayed.
Indian Rupee Short-Term Outlook
Current Resistance: 76.1200
Current Support: 75.9600
High Target: 76.2600
Low Target: 75.7200
