The NZD/USD recovered from the swift spike downwards which was displayed yesterday, as the U.S. Federal Reserve policy statement caused havoc in Forex. The 0.67000 came within sight briefly, but a strong reversal higher energized in reaction and the NZD/USD is now traversing near the 0.67750 ratio as of this writing. Speculators should expect more volatility, but hopefully steep spikes downward will not be part of the trading landscape now that clarity has been put forth.
The NZD/USD certainly continues to trade within the lower realms of its price range, and yesterday’s spike towards the 0.67000 juncture tested marks not seen since early November 2020. While some traders may stick to the notion the NZD/USD has been oversold and will begin to perform a rebound higher may be proven correct over the mid-term, questions persists about the bearish trend which has been displayed since the last week of October 2021.
Yesterday’s reversal higher off of lower depths was a healthy reaction, but the question for technical traders now is if momentum can be sustained.Resistance levels will have to be challenged upwards before conservative speculators may feel comfortable to try and join a contrarian trading notion. The mark of 0.67920 appears to be an important ratio near term. The high in this morning’s trading was around 0.67780, but the reversal higher met headwinds.
The U.S. Fed's monetary policy statement yesterday now allows speculators to focus on their charts and consider what they have seen transpire with the NZD/USD the past few months. It is possible the NZD/USD had a strong dose of selling action develop because of potential interest rates to come from the U.S. and now that this policy has been ‘confirmed’ and is still anticipated, maybe traders will start to look for the potential of upside momentum to develop. However, support near the 0.67600 level short term should be watched, if it proves vulnerable today another move lower towards the 0.67500 to 0.67400 could be quick hitting targets.
Choppy trading in the short term will likely be demonstrated today and tomorrow as financial houses try to decipher equilibrium. Short-term traders should be ready to use entry orders with specific prices to guard against volatility in today’s market. If current support levels sustain, looking for upside action towards the 0.67850 to 0.67930 levels may be a worthwhile wager.
NZD/USD Short-Term Outlook
Current Resistance: 0.67800
Current Support: 0.67560
High Target: 0.67940
Low Target: 0.67270
