NZD/USD: Selling Pressure Remains the Story, Lows Challenged

Robert Petrucci

The NZD/USD is trading above important short- and long-term lows as the Forex pair continues to display a rather strong amount of selling pressure.

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The NZD/USD fell to a low of nearly 0.67370 in early trading this morning, breaking through important support demonstrated the past few days of trading. This morning’s low also touched long-term values which had not been exhibited since October of 2020. After hitting today’s low, the NZD/USD was able to stage a reversal higher, but the pair remains below resistance levels which could prove to be a significant indicator if the current lower value range continues to be sustained.

Since trading at a high of about 0.72180 on the 21st of October the NZD/USD has incrementally lowered. However, the real surge lower which appears to have signaled bearish momentum may take hold in a demonstrative fashion occurred on the 22nd of November, when the NZD/USD broke below the 0.70000 and was not only able to maintain values below this important psychological juncture, but seemingly exhibit price velocity which showed other support levels were vulnerable.

On the 1st of December the NZD/USD was near the 0.68650 mark and the Forex pair still has not been able to prove it can sustain a bullish move higher that is durable. The USD has been strong against many major currencies recently as the U.S. Federal Reserve seems to have created the belief it will be more hawkish regarding its monetary policy moving forward.

Intriguing technical charts certainly continue to show a lack of ability regarding the NZD/USD to create a reactionary bullish winning streak. Speculators who want to be contrarian and wager on upside momentum developing are certainly fighting the trend. Traders who want to be buyers with short-term positions should not be overly ambitious and perhaps target limited upside cyclical moves. Targeting the 0.67900 to 0.67950 marks may be justifiable, if the trader is using their risk management wisely.

Speculators who want to continue to pursue downward trajectory cannot be faulted. While some traders may believe the NZD/USD has been oversold, long-term charts plainly show the pair has the capability to traverse lower values. If support near the 0.67450 to 0.67400 ratios begins to see a test and break below these marks, traders may begin to anticipate stronger moves lower which could ultimately test the 0.67000 juncture.

NZD/USD Short-Term Outlook

Current Resistance: 0.67970

Current Support: 0.67430

High Target: 0.68260

Low Target: 0.66950

NZD/USD

Robert Petrucci
Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.

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