USD/TRY: New Highs Achieved as Turkish Lira Problems Grow

Robert Petrucci

The USD/TRY has broken through the 10.00000 ratio and its path higher may not be complete quite yet.

New record highs have been made by the USD/TRY in early trading as the Forex pair has climbed above 10.00000. A look at nearly any technical chart shows the Forex pair has been within the grasp of a long-term bullish trend, and this is not likely coming to an end soon. The question for traders is how the momentum of the USD/TRY can be taken advantage of in the midst of this storm which continues to threaten new heights.

Speculators may be able to trade the USD/TRY via their chosen broker, but before they stumble into a speculative winning decision they must consider the costs of the transaction. To accomplish getting into the USD/TRY a trader needs to enter a solid entry level, because the spread in the bid/ ask for the Forex pair may be very wide and deliver unexpected price fills which do not meet expectations. This can create costs which make the USD/TRY difficult to trade and ill-fated.

If that criteria can be met, and before even putting on the trade still, a speculator need to find out what the ‘carrying charge’ for holding the position overnight will be if this is needed. In other words you as the buyer of the USD/TRY will be charged a fee for being allowed to speculate with a large sum of money via leverage, and the costs can be high if you need to hold the position into tomorrow and further.

If a trader has made sure they can get into the USD/TRY with a solid price point and understands all the fees they may encounter - then it is time to allow the Forex pair to trade. Having broken through the important psychological barrier of 10.00000 is no small feat for the USD/TRY and if this current price level is sustained without a violent reversal, it could indicate that upwards momentum will continue in the near term. There is reason to suspect price velocity within the USD/TRY can turn volatile at any time, however, and traders need to be ready to handle the moves with take profit and stop loss orders working.

The USD/TRY is recommended as a wager for Forex traders who have a lot of experience. New speculators should be careful before attempting to trade the pair. Resistance near the 10.10000 mark may seem like a road too far, but if the pair’s upwards momentum continues to be sparked this value seems more likely than support ratios below the 9.80000 level being touched in the near term.

Turkish Lira Short-Term Outlook

Current Resistance: 10.04000

Current Support: 9.95000

High Target: 10.13000

Low Target: 9.87000

USD/TRY

Robert Petrucci
Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.

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