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Weekly Forex Forecast

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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Start the week of July 12, 2021 with our Forex forecast focusing on major currency pairs here.

EUR/USD

The euro fell rather significantly during the trading week, breaking down below the 1.18 level before recovering quite nicely on Friday. The resulting candlestick is a hammer, so if we can break above the top of that hammer, then it is likely we could go looking towards the 1.20 level. If we can break above that 1.20 level, then the market is likely to go looking towards the 1.22 handle. On the other hand, if we break down below the lows of the week, then 1.17 comes into the picture, and then eventually 1.16.

EUR/USD Weekly Chart

AUD/USD

The Australian dollar was very noisy during the week, dancing around the 0.75 handle. The 50-week EMA sits just below there and flattens out, so I think at this point in time we are trying to make a decision as to which direction to go. Simply put, I think the easiest way to trade this market is to either start selling again on a break of the weekly low, or perhaps breaking above the resistance on the last three candlesticks. If we do break out, it is very likely that we could go looking towards the 0.70 level, just as a breakout above the last three candlesticks could open up a move to the 0.7750 level.

AUD/USD Weekly Chart

NZD/USD

The New Zealand dollar has been back and forth during the week, looking at the 0.69 level as support, and as you can see, it looks a bit confused at the moment. Ultimately, this is a market that has been bouncing around and I think is trying to carve out some type of range for the summer. If we break down below the lows of the last couple of candlesticks, then I think we will fall much further, perhaps reaching towards the 0.66 level. On the other hand, if we can break above the top of the weekly candlestick, then it is likely that we could go to the 0.73 handle after that.

NZD/USD Weekly Chart

GBP/USD

The British pound initially fell during the week but bounced enough from the 1.37 level to show signs of support. Because of this, it looks as if we are going to continue to bounce around in this general vicinity, and I think we may be trying to carve out a range in this market just like we are in the New Zealand dollar. If that is going to be the case, then we could go back to the 1.42 handle. To the downside, if we break down below the 1.37 handle, we could very easily go to the 1.35 handle.

GBP/USD Weekly Chart

Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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