The past day of trading has produced consolidated trading within the USD/INR, which has built upon the results demonstrated the past week. The tight price range likely has experienced traders feeling rather suspicious about the current price action within the Indian rupee as it traverses against the U.S dollar without any volatile spikes having occurred recently.
As of this writing, the USD/INR is hovering near 74.4100 and support and resistance levels are extremely close from a technical perspective, even while considering a five-day chart. Yesterday’s price action can be interpreted as having created an even tighter price ratio than the recent past, meaning that traders may be able to use limit orders and implement close take profit and stop loss ratios to take advantage of conditions.
However, if this current price action fails to hold and a sudden burst of movement is seen, traders should be ready for the event. Support near the 74.3750 mark feels extremely close, but if it continues to be sustained, speculators may want to try and buy at marks above this level while using it as a stop loss for quick-hitting trades. Resistance near the 74.4450 value is being demonstrated, but is also extremely near the current price action. Speculators looking to be sellers may want to ignite short positions near the 74.4300 ratio to look for downside momentum.
The question that experienced traders within the USD/INR are likely worried about is when the Forex pair is going to breakout and in which direction. The broad Forex market has seen rather mixed results the past day, which sets the table for speculators who like short-term trades while wagering on fast results. The rather consolidated range within the USD/INR suggests the markets are awaiting another dose of impetus to generate direction. Until then, traders should use risk management and set their goals on nearby targets.
From a risk reward perspective, there appears more room to traverse higher than lower for the USD/INR in the short term. While support has proven durable via the 74.3700 to 74.3400 levels, resistance above looks like it may have more space to traverse before it too causes a reversal. Traders who want to pursue buying positions near current support levels and look for upwards momentum to generate a bigger move may be making a logical technical decision, but risk taking tactics need to be firmly in place.
Indian Rupee Short-Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 74.4580
Current Support: 74.3750
High Target: 74.5100
Low Target: 74.3460
