EUR/USD Forex Signal: Bullish Trend Resuming

Adam Lemon

The long-term bullish trend in this currency pair seems to be beginning to reassert itself, suggesting there may be long trade opportunities now.

Last Monday’s signals produced a profitable short trade from the bearish rejection of the resistance level at 1.2193.

Today’s EUR/USD Signals

Risk 0.75%.

Trades must be entered prior to 5pm London time today.

Short Trade Ideas

  • Short entry following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 1.2227 or 1.2279 or 1.2354.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Long entry following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 1.2193 or 1.2107.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

EUR/USD Analysis

I wrote last Monday that the likely short-term outcome was one of consolidation with bearish pressure. This meant trades might profitably be found at reversals from either support or resistance levels. I was looking to either trade long following a bullish reversal at 1.2120, or short from a bearish reversal at 1.2193.

This was a good call as the resistance level I had identified at 1.2193 held and could have given an opportunity for a short trade entry which would have produced about 40 pips worth of profit, although the reversal really took too long to look like a very attractive entry signal.

We saw the U.S. dollar regain some ground over recent days, but it is falling again almost everywhere, although not particularly strongly. This means the long-term bullish trend in this currency pair seems to be beginning to reassert itself, suggesting there may be long trade opportunities now.

I do not think bulls should get excited yet, but should wait and see if the price can get established above the nearby resistance level at 1.2227, after which point a long trade may be taken from that level acting as support, although I see the price as unlikely to rise above 1.2277, which looks like strong resistance. A short trade from a bearish reversal at 1.2277 could also be interesting.

EUR/USD chart

There is nothing of high importance scheduled today regarding the EUR. Concerning the USD, there will be a release of CPI (inflation) data at 1:30pm London time.

Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.
Learn more from Adam in his free lessons at FX Academy

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