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Gold Forecast: Market Tossed Violently in Thin Trading

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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Keep in mind that it is holiday trading, so volume will be a major issue and gold could have a huge move based upon very little news flow.

Gold markets have fluctuated during the trading session on Monday to kick off the week, as we started off with a bang. Looking at this candlestick, you can see that we have been both positive and negative, but perhaps the most important aspect is that we have broken below the 50-day EMA to fill the gap below there. That is a strong technical sign, and now we have fulfilled that need. It is not necessarily that we are going to take off straight up in the air, it is just that a technical issue has been solved.

The candlestick has a couple of long wicks, so it shows that there was a lot of confusion. This is not a huge surprise, as people are worried about the coronavirus mutating in the United Kingdom, but it is obvious that there are still buyers for multiple reasons. Looking at this chart, you can see that we did pierce the $1900 level initially, but giving back the gains suggests that we still have work to do. Keep in mind that it is holiday trading, so volume will be a major issue. Because of this, gold could have a huge move based upon very little news flow.

I still believe in buying gold, however, and filling the gap was probably the most important thing that has happened over the last couple of days. Now that it is out of the way, we have the ability to go higher. We will go looking towards the $1950 level, although can it take some time to get there. That is an area in which we have seen a lot of selling in the past, so it follows that we would target it, and probably run into a bit of trouble. We will have to test that area, and short-term pullbacks will continue to be thought of as buying opportunities going forward. I have no interest in shorting gold, and longer term, we will continue to see plenty of reasons to go long.

Gold chart

Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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