Trading Support and Resistance

Adam Lemon

This month, we forecast that the USD/JPY currency pair is likely to fall in value.

This week we’ll begin with our monthly and weekly forecasts of the currency pairs worth watching. The first part of our forecast is based upon our research of the past 16 years of Forex prices, which show that the following methodologies have all produced profitable results:

Let us look at the relevant data of currency price changes and interest rates to date, which we compiled using a trade-weighted index of the major global currencies:

Currency Price Changes and Interest Rates

Monthly Forecast October 2020

This month, we forecast that the USD/JPY currency pair is likely to fall in value.

For the month of September, we forecasted that the EUR/USD currency pair was likely to see a further rise in price. However, the September performance was negative, as shown below:

EUR/USD

Weekly Forecast 4th October 2020 

Last week, we forecasted that the AUD/JPY currency cross and AUD/USD currency pair were both likely to rise in value over the coming week.

These were good calls, as the AUD/USD rose by 1.95% last week, and the AUD/JPY rose by 1.71%.

We make no weekly forecast this week, as there were no very strong counter-trend price movement to exploit.

The Forex market showed a decrease in volatility compared to the previous week, with only 33% of the important currency pairs and crosses moving by more than 1% in value last week. Volatility is likely to be similar this week

Last week was dominated by relative strength in the Australian Dollar and relative weakness in the U.S. Dollar.

You can trade our forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account.

Previous Monthly Forecasts

You can view the results of our previous monthly forecasts here.

Key Support/Resistance Levels for Popular Pairs

We teach that trades should be entered and exited at or very close to key support and resistance levels. There are certain key support and resistance levels that can be watched on the more popular currency pairs this week.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

That is all for this week. You can trade our forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account to test the strategies and strengthen your self-confidence before investing real funds.

Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.
Learn more from Adam in his free lessons at FX Academy

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