BTC/USD Forex Signal: Still Stabilizing at $7,700 - 11 March 2020

Adam Lemon

BTC/USD: Selling pressure remains

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as there was no bearish price action when the resistance level at $8,000 was first reached.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.50% per trade.

Trades may only be entered before 5pm Tokyo time Thursday.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Long entry after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $7,698, $7,477, or $7,228, or $7,043.

  • Put the stop loss $50 below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Short Trade Ideas

  • Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $8,004, $8,162, or $8,375.

  • Put the stop loss $50 above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that I would take a bearish bias if the price retraced to the $8,000 level and prints a bearish rejection. The price broke through this level easily, so this forecast was only useful enough to keep out of trouble.

It seems that the support just below $7,700 continues to hold as markets, while volatile, seem to be finding some relative stability in consolidation, although in quite wide price swings.

The best I can say here is that Bitcoin remains vulnerable to risk-off panic, but the longer the price remains consolidating above $7,700 the greater the chance that at least a medium-term bottom has been reached. A long-term long trade from $7,700 could have an edge, but over the shorter-term, shorting reversals following retracements to the resistance levels given above is likely to be a better strategy.BTCUSDConcerning the USD, there will be a release of CPI (inflation) data at 12:30pm London time.

About the Author
Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.
Learn more from Adam in his free lessons at FX Academy

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