BTC/USD Forex Signal: Ranging between $8,893 and $8,546 - 16 January 2020

Bitcoin: Ranging between $8,893 and $8,546

Yesterday’s signals were not triggered as there was insufficiently bearish price action at $8,893 – however, this level did contain the high of the day almost to the pip so was very accurate as resistance.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades may only be entered prior to 5pm Tokyo time Friday.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Long entry after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $8,546, $8,375, or $8,216.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Short Trade Ideas

  • Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $8,893, $9,904, or $9,233.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that the technical picture was still bullish, with higher support formed at $8,546 and the price has continued to advance. However, bulls needed to be aware that we also had new lower resistance which was likely to be a pivotal level now.

This was a pretty good call as support continues to hold so the picture remains bullish, but the nearby resistance is holding as well, giving a ranging pattern between $8,893 and $8,546.

As the major movement is still upwards, I think it is wise to keep a bullish bias as long as the support at $8,546 continues to hold. So, I would be very happy to take a long trade if we get a bullish bounce at $8,546 today.

As Bitcoin is at relative lows and is being bought as 2020 begins, I think there is a good chance we are seeing the start of a long-term price rise.BTCUSDConcerning the USD, there will be a release of Retail Sales data at 1:30pm London time.

Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.