BTC/USD Forex Signal - 29 July 2019

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Bitcoin: Medium-term bearish trend

Last Thursday’s signals were not triggered as none of the key levels were reached during the specified period.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades must be taken prior to 5pm Tokyo time Tuesday.

Long Trade Ideas

  • Long entry at a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $9,073, $8,893, or $8,610.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Short Trade Idea

  • Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $10,359.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

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BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote last Thursday that if the price could continue its recovery and start to move up and get away from this area below $10,000, I think it would be a definite bullish sign. I also thought that a failure to break resistance and another drop back below $10,000 was a very possible and more bearish scenario.

This wasn’t a bad call as the price fell back below $10,000 quite quickly and has continued to move down to make new short-term lows. The downwards move is bounded by a medium-term bearish trend line which is shown in the price chart below.

We have a more bearish picture but there is always the chance of long-term buyers stepping in. The support level at $9,073 may be very strong. I also see a bearish failure after a “fake” bullish break of the bearish trend lines at $10,359 as a potentially very interesting area for a short trade.

I have no directional bias and would be equally interested at a reversal at either support or resistance. In the short-term, the level at $9,660 is likely to be the first pivotal point which will give us an indication of the major direction of movement over the coming day.BTCUSDThere is nothing of high importance due today concerning the USD.

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.
Learn more from Adam in his free lessons at FX Academy