Gold Price Forecast: A New Bearish Momentum - 30 May 2019


A new bearish momentum for gold prices ahead of the release of US economic growth figures, which will have a strong impact on the US dollar and therefore on gold prices that are currently established, around $ 1277 an ounce at the time of writing. At the same time, buying gold from every bearish level remains the best strategy, despite the strength of the US dollar, which continues to weaken the chances of stronger gains for gold prices. The results of the European elections, the Brexit route after May's resignation and the continuation of US-Chinese trade tensions are all factors that could support stronger gains for gold prices. The upward correction will not strengthen without testing the psychological peak of $ 1300 and establishing above it.

The US dollar was second only to the Japanese yen in gaining as a safe haven as the US-China trade war recently intensified. In general, the absence of a final and formal agreement that ends the trade dispute between the United States and China will continue to be a factor contributing to stronger gold price gains. Trump's recent comments, which bear the prospect of reconciling with China after raising tariffs on their products, have eased investors' concerns and have contributed to a halt in gold price gains.

The Federal Reserve Board kept the interest rate unchanged as expected and indicated it was unlikely to raise or lower interest rates in the coming months amid signs of renewed economic health while at the same time inflation was still unusually low. The Bank's policy statement highlighted its continued failure to raise the annual inflation rate to at least 2%. The statement may have raised expectations that a change in the next Fed interest rate is a rate cut to stimulate inflation or growth.

Technically: If gold prices stabilized today below $1300, it will increase the bearish momentum and the nearest support levels will be 1273, 1265 and 1258 respectively, which support the strength of the bearish trend while at the same time levels can be bought for close targets. On the upside, the nearest levels of gold resistance are currently 1286, 1300 and 1312, respectively. We still prefer to buy gold from every bearish bounce.

In terms of economic data: The yellow metal will all focus on the US dollar level after the announcement of the GDP, the Unemployment Claimant and the Pending Houses Sales data. Gold will also be affected by investors' risk appetite. Gold is one of the most important safe havens.


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