Gold Analysis: When is the Right Time to Buy? - 21 May 2019

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For the sixth day in a row, gold prices moved downward to the support level of $1274 an ounce, with stronger gains for the US dollar, which is second only to the Japanese yen in gaining safe haven gains as the US-China trade war recently intensified. In general, the absence of a final and formal agreement that ends the trade dispute between the United States and China will continue to be a factor contributing to stronger gold price gains. Establishing above the psychological peak at $1,300 will increase purchases and test stronger bullish levels. Trump's recent comments, which bear the prospect of reconciling with China after raising tariffs on their products, have eased investors' concerns and have contributed to a halt in gold price gains.

The Federal Reserve Board kept the interest rate unchanged as expected and indicated it was unlikely to raise or lower interest rates in the coming months amid signs of renewed economic health, while at the same time, inflation was still unusually low. The Bank's policy statement highlighted its continued failure to raise the annual inflation rate to at least 2%. The statement may have raised expectations that a change in the next Fed interest rate is a rate cut to stimulate inflation or growth.

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Technically: If Gold prices stabilized today below $1300, that will increase the bearish momentum and the nearest support levels will be 1273, 1265 and 1258 respectively, which support the strength of the bearish trend while at the same time levels can be bought for close targets. On the upside, the nearest resistance levels for gold are currently 1286, 1300 and 1312, respectively. We still prefer to buy gold from every bearish bounce.

In terms of economic data: The yellow metal will all focus on the US dollar level. Gold will also be affected by investors' appetite for risk. Gold is one of the most important safe havens.

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