USD/JPY Forex Signal - 25 April 2019

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Yesterday’s signals produced a profitable long trade from the bullish engulfing candlestick structure on the hourly chart which rejected the support level at 111.70 during yesterday’s New York session.

Today’s USD/JPY Signals

Risk 0.75%.

Trades may be taken between 8am New York time Thursday and 5pm Tokyo time Friday.

Short Trade

  • Short entry following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 112.10.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Long Trades

  • Long entry following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 111.70, 111.58 or 111.23.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

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USD/JPY Analysis

Yesterday I wrote that I saw the higher support level at 111.70 as likely to be the pivotal level of the day, and I was looking for a long trade there. This was a good call and it worked out well, with the price shooting up from that area to finally break above the key long-term resistance at 112.10. However, the price quickly fell back to there is clearly a lot of selling above 112.00 and the break was a temporary thing. This is not a bullish sign, but as long as 111.70 holds up, we still have a chance for another push above 112.10 and a true bullish break. If this happens, it would be a very bullish sign for this currency pair. A break below 1.1170 is less interesting for bears as there are a few support levels close by: the line of least resistance looks to be upwards if 112.10 can be overcome.

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There is nothing important due today concerning the JPY. Regarding the USD, there will be a release of Core Durable Goods Orders at 1:30pm London time.

Adam is a Forex trader who has worked within financial markets for over 12 years, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch. He is certified in Fund Management and Investment Management by the U.K. Chartered Institute for Securities & Investment.