Trading Support and Resistance - 3 February 2019
This week we’ll begin with our monthly and weekly forecasts of the currency pairs worth watching. The first part of our forecast is based upon our research of the past 16 years of Forex prices, which show that the following methodologies have all produced profitable results:
- Trading the two currencies that are trending the most strongly over the past 3 months.
- Assuming that trends are usually ready to reverse after 12 months.
- Trading against very strong counter-trend movements by currency pairs made during the previous week.
- Buying currencies with high interest rates and selling currencies with low interest rates.
Let’s take a look at the relevant data of currency price changes and interest rates to date, which we compiled using a trade-weighted index of the major global currencies:
Monthly Forecast February 2018
For the month of February, we forecast that the best trade will be long GBP/USD.
For the month of January, we forecasted that the best trades would be short USD/JPY and long USD/CAD. The final performance was as follows:
We made no forecast last week, as we did not like the strong counter-trend move in the British Pound. We again make no forecast this week, as there were no strong counter-trend moves last week.
Weekly Forecast 3rd February 2019
About 19% of the important currency pairs or crosses moved by more than 1% in value over the past week. Volatility has decreased and will probably be relatively low over the coming week too.
This week has been dominated by relative strength in the British Pound, and relative weakness in the U.S. Dollar.
You can trade our forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account.
Previous Monthly Forecasts
You can view the results of our previous monthly forecasts here.
Key Support/Resistance Levels for Popular Pairs
We teach that trades should be entered and exited at or very close to key support and resistance levels. There are certain key support and resistance levels that should be watched on the more popular currency pairs this week, which might result in either reversals or breakouts:
That’s all for this week. You can trade our forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account to test the strategies and strengthen your self-confidence before investing real funds