NZD/USD Forex Signal - 11 February 2019

Last Thursday’s signals were not triggered, as none of the key levels were ever reached.

Today’s NZD/USD Signals

Risk 0.75%.

Trades may only be taken from 8am New York time Monday until 5pm Tokyo time Tuesday.

 Short Trade

  • Go short following bearish price action on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.6802.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

 Long Trades

  • Go long following bullish price action on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.6708, 0.6677, or 0.6655.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

 The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

NZD/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that the price would probably rise from here over the short-term, but 0.6802 looked likely to hold and might provide an opportunity to go short if there was a strong bearish reversal there later. I was correct about 0.6802 holding but wrong about the price rising: it has just gone sideways since last Thursday.

There is no long-term trend in this pair, but the medium-term momentum is with the bears due partly to the strong U.S. Dollar and partly due to the RBA’s statement last week which was seen as a little dovish. As such, I would be prepared to take a bearish bias if (and only if) the price makes a strong bearish reversal at 0.6802. However, it is also worth noting that the price is getting closer to a cluster of three support levels below which are likely to take a while to break down, if at all.

nzdusd

There is nothing of high importance due today regarding either the NZD or the USD.

Adam is a Forex trader who has worked within financial markets for over 12 years, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch. He is certified in Fund Management and Investment Management by the U.K. Chartered Institute for Securities & Investment. Learn more from Adam in his free lessons at FX Academy.