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EUR/USD and GBP/USD Forecast - 20 February 2019

EUR/USD

The Euro initially fell during trading on Tuesday but found enough support underneath the continue to show the area near the 1.13 level to be rather supportive. Ultimately, I think that the Euro has found a pretty significant support level based upon the longer-term consolidation. I think the 1.12 level underneath is even more supportive based upon the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, and of course previous action. At this point, I like the idea of buying short-term pullbacks, and I believe in aiming towards the top of the overall consolidation which is near the 1.15 handle above. However, I do recognize that there is a lot in the way of volatility ahead, as we have a couple of central banks that have no hawkish tone at all and should continue to weigh against both currencies overall.

EURUSD

GBP/USD

GBP/USD rallied significantly during the trading session on Tuesday, as there seems to be a bit of optimism surrounding the Brexit. We are above the 1.30 level, which of course is a very bullish sign so it’s likely that we will continue to see people pile into the British pound. Lately, I have been suggesting that the British pound has bottomed longer-term, as we have retested the previous downtrend line near the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, which is a bit of a “double whammy” for this market. Ultimately, this is a market that should show plenty of support near the 1.27 level, and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which of course is the same area. I do expect a certain amount of volatility based upon the fact that this is the British pound, but we are going higher over the longer-term so I’m looking for short-term pullbacks to buy based upon supportive action and bounces.

GBPUSD

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex for several years. He writes about Forex for many online publications, including his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy.

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