Last Thursday’s signals produced a losing short trade following the bearish inside candlestick which rejected the resistance level at 109.08.
Today’s USD/JPY Signals
Risk 0.75%.
Trades may only be entered between 8am New York time and 5pm Tokyo time today.
Short Trades
Short entry following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 110.04.
Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.
Long Trade
Long entry following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 109.31.
Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.
The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.
USD/JPY Analysis
I wrote last Thursday that if we had got a strong break and hold below 108.75 for a couple of hours, I would be prepared to take a bearish bias between 108.75 and 108.34, especially if the U.S. stock market was selling off also. I also thought that if the price had made a surprise rise to get established above 109.08 it would be a significantly bullish sign.
I was correct in the sense that 108.75 held and the price then broke above 109.08 which produced a further rise, and a more bullish picture, which was also accompanies by the U.S. stock market rising.
The price has room to rise further, but is off its highs from some hours ago, suggesting that the picture is less bullish, at least over the short-term. I would be prepared to take a bullish bias later if the price falls down to 109.31 and makes a solid bullish bounce at that support level.
There is nothing important due today regarding either the USD or the JPY. It is a public holiday today in the USA.