BTC/USD Forex Signal - 24 January 2019

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Yesterday’s signals were not triggered as the bearish price action at $3,593 was too weak.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades may only be taken before 5pm Tokyo time today.

Long Trade

  • Long entry after a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $3,450.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Short Trades

  • Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $3,593 or $3,732.
  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is $200 in profit by price.
  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $200 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that the price looked much more finely balanced, with support and resistance levels extremely close by, so I would avoid trading this pair until we got at least one of these close levels invalidated or flipped.

The price rejected the nearby resistance, then invalidated the nearby support, so the picture is now a little clearer and slightly more bearish. However, the price is still quite flat and is not really giving any clues as to where it is most likely to go next.

I would have a slight bias in favour of taking a short trade following a bearish rejection of the nearby resistance over taking a long trade following a bounce at the nearest support level.

BTCUSD

There is nothing of high importance due today regarding the USD.

Adam is a Forex trader who has worked within financial markets for over 12 years, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch. He is certified in Fund Management and Investment Management by the U.K. Chartered Institute for Securities & Investment.