EUR/USD and GBP/USD Forecast - 13 March 2018
The EUR/USD pair initially pulled back during trading on Monday but found enough support near the 1.2275 level to turn things around and rallied significantly. By doing so, the market ended up forming a hammer, sitting just below the 50-day EMA. This is a very positive sign, and if we can break above the top of the range during the day on Monday, I feel that this market will probably go looking towards the 1.24 level next, followed very quickly by the 1.2450 level. Pullbacks should continue to be buying opportunities, but we do have several important US announcements coming out over the next several sessions. Because of this, I think the one thing you can count on is volatility, but we been in an uptrend for some time so at this point nothing has changed, and I still believe that we will find buyers on these dips.
The British pound initially fell during the day but then shot higher on Monday as we continue to see strength in Sterling. There is a downtrend line that we are approaching, and if we can break above that line I feel that the market will continue to go higher, perhaps reaching towards the 1.40 level. That area of course will cause a significant amount of resistance due to the large, round, psychologically significant number, but I also recognize that if we can break above there, the market will more than likely go looking towards the highs again at the 1.43 level. We could get pullbacks, but I think that there is enough support below, especially after the last couple of days, to keep this market going higher and perhaps attracting value hunters. Again though, we have several US economic numbers of the next couple of days that could cause volatility.