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Gold Rebounds as Dollar Retreats - 16 November 2016

Gold prices edged higher on Tuesday, snapping a three-day losing streak, as a retreat in the dollar sparked some short-side profit taking. At the beginning of the week, the XAU/USD pair initially headed lower towards the $1210/8 zone but found enough support in the vicinity and managed to climb back above the $1220 level. Gold has dropped nearly 8% from last week's high of $1337.16 and is currently trading at $1226.48 an ounce.

The short term technical picture remains bearish, with the market trading below the Ichimoku clouds on the daily and 4-hourly time frames. However, the weekly cloud sits right below the market and occupies the area between the 1215 and 1177 levels. That being the case, I think gold prices will tend toward consolidation for the next few days.

XAUUSD Week

To the upside, keep an eye on the 1237 level. Clearing this resistance would give the bulls a chance to challenge 1243/0. Closing beyond 1243 on a daily basis paves the way towards the 1250/49. This area had served as a floor in the past so now it should act as solid resistance. The bears will have to drag XAU/USD back below the aforementioned 1220 support level so that they can make a fresh assault on the 1215 level. If this support is broken, then the market will be testing the 1210/8 area afterwards. A break below the 1208 level would open up the risk of a move towards the 1200-1197 zone.

XAUUSD Daily

Alp Kocak
About Alp Kocak
Alp Kocak has been trading Forex since 2003. He writes technical analysis based on Japanese candlesticks and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo.
 

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