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USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast - 17 May 2016

By Christopher Lewis
Senior Technical Analyst

Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for tra...

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By: DailyForex.com

USD/JPY

The USD/JPY pair initially trying to rally during the course of the day on Monday, but could not continue the momentum to the upside in order to break out. There is a massive amount of resistance between here and the 110 level in my estimation, so I do not think that it’s going to be easy to buy this pair. At the same time though, I can certainly see where there is a significant amount of support, so given enough time I think that pullbacks might be buying opportunities more than anything else. It is possible that we can break above the 110 level, and start buying there but I don’t think it’s going to happen today. Quite frankly, this is probably a market that’s best left alone until the momentum picks back up.

USDJPY

AUD/USD

The AUD/USD pair initially tried to go higher during the day on Monday, but ran into a significant amount of resistance at the 0.73 level. The market does have a substantial amount of support below here, but at this point in time I think you are probably better served selling short-term rallies that show signs of exhaustion like we got on Monday. I think we will grind lower, and as a result this is going to be more or less a “short-term only” type of market going forward.

I think there is significant resistance above the 0.73 level all the way to the 0.74 level, so I’m willing to simply ignore bullish pressure until we break above there. Quite frankly, I do believe that the Australian dollar continues to go lower over the longer term, unless of course gold suddenly skyrocket. The Reserve Bank of Australia recently cut interest rates in a bit of a surprise move, and that of course will continue to weigh upon the value of the Aussie dollar going forward. Selling short-term rallies that show signs of exhaustion will be the easiest way to trade this market.

AUDUSD

Senior Technical Analyst
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

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