USD/JPY Signal Update
Yesterday’s signal was not triggered and expired.
Today’s USD/JPY Signal
Long Trade 1
Enter long if a pin or engulfing bar is formed on the hourly chart when the price first reaches 99.80, on the break of the bar by 1 pip on the next bar. If a bar closes below 99.75, the trade is invalidated.
Stop loss at the local swing low.
Move the stop loss to break even at 101.00. Take 50% of the position as profit at 101.70 and leave the remainder of the position to run to 103.75.
Risk 0.50% and the trade may be taken until 8am London time tomorrow.
USD/JPY Analysis
Yesterday was a quiet and inconclusive day. We have had three consecutive daily lows in the area of 100.80 so it seems support is being carved out there. Although the downwards move has stalled, the bearish trend line is still intact. Breaking upwards through it would be a sign that we should be heading up to 102.00 and beyond:
Below us at 99.80 is a level which is likely to be very supportive, particularly due to its confluence with the key psychological level of 100.00. I am in agreement here with Christopher Lewis’ recent analysis.
There is no important news due today for the JPY. Concerning the USD, there is the Trade Balance and Unemployment Claims at 1:30pm. This means the morning should be quiet but the afternoon lively, although the market is really waiting more to hear Friday’s news, so today may well not see as large a move as might be expected.