USD/JPY Signal- Jan. 2, 2014



USD/JPY Signal Update

Tuesday's signal was not triggered and expired.

Today’s USD/JPY Signal

Risk 0.50%.

Entry should be made before 4pm today New York time.

Long Trade

Enter long at the next bar break of an hourly pin or strong outside or engulfing bar rejecting and closing above 104.63. If this levels is not touched and rejected by the same hourly bar, or if an hourly bar closes more than a few pips below 104.63, the trade is immediately invalidated and should not be taken.

Stop loss at the local swing low or 104.48, depending upon how close the entry is to 104.63. If the entry is very close, then the lower of the two should definitely be used.

Take the risk off the position at 104.85, move the stop loss to break even if possible. Let the remainder of the position ride.

USD/JPY Analysis

There is important news today for the USD at 1:30pm (Unemployment Claims) and 3pm (ISM Manufacturing PMI) London time which might well cause some movement. However it is also still a public holiday in Japan which might make things quieter.

The wonderful uptrend in this pair was maintained over the Christmas period with bullish trend lines holding and new support levels being established at 103.82 and 104.62. The upper channel trend line was breached to the upside twice, the psychologically key level of 105.00 was broken to the upside, and new 5-year highs were made. All in all there is every reason to be bullish and take a long bias, and the price rose again on the final day of 2013. I do not see any significant resistance levels before 106.38:

USDJPY Signal 1214


Adam is a Forex trader who has worked within financial markets for over 12 years, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch. He is certified in Fund Management and Investment Management by the U.K. Chartered Institute for Securities & Investment.