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FXI ETF Signal - Dec. 18, 2012

By: Andrew Keene

On the heels of the Chinese Economic Work Conference we will focus on FXI, an ETF tracking 25 of the biggest and most liquid Chinese companies. Up 3.24% year to date, we believe we see cause to expect a further increase in price in light of the improved economic data coming out of China. Vehicle imports are up 22.9% in the first 9 months of 2012 compared to the same period in 2011, and the government’s PMI hit a 7-month high of $50.60 as a result of direct investment programs. Last week also saw industrial output and retail sales beat expectations, up 10.1% and 14.9% respectively from levels one year ago. Banks and energy companies dominate FXI, the top 5 holdings are Petrochina Co Ltd, Industrial Commercial Bank of China Ltd, China Construction Bank Corp, Bank of China Ltd, and Agricultural Bank of China dominate FXI’s holdings. This puts FXI in a potentially good position to ride the latest wave of Chinese growth, capitalizing on development initiatives and further government spending on infrastructure and urbanization.

Sell Jan 40-38 bull put spread for $0.90

Risk: $110 per 1 lot
Reward: $90 per 1 lot
Breakeven: $39.10


Andrew Keene
About Andrew Keene
Andrew Keene spent 10 years as an independent equity options trader on the Chicago Board of Options Exchange, during which he spent the majority of his time as a market-maker for over 125 stocks. Andrew currently trades futures, currencies and commodities. When he's not trading, Andrew appears on top business television shows including CNBC's Squawk on the Street, Street Smart on Bloomberg TV and First Business, a show that is syndicated across the United States. Andrew graduated from the University of Illinois with a degree in Finance with a concentration in Accountancy.

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