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Forex Today: US Stock Indices Close on Record Highs Ahead of CPI, FOMC

As markets await tomorrow’s US CPI data and FOMC release, major US stock indices continue to close at new all-time high prices, suggesting market confidence in a smooth path to rate cuts.

  1. Two of the major US equity indices, the NASDAQ 100 and the S&P 500, closed yesterday at new all-time record prices. European stock markets are also quite bullish. This comes as markets await tomorrow’s crucial US CPI (inflation) data release, as well as the Fed’s policy statement – this will be a big day for the Forex market, with a spike in volatility expected. The Fed is not expected to make any changes to rates, the important detail will all be in the statement and forecast.
  2. Precious metals are weak, with Gold looking heavy as it trades very close to a 2-month low near an area of support at about $2285. A breakdown below this level could trigger a stronger fall.
  3. The Euro fell on news of the results of the European Parliament election in France and Macron’s shock calling of a general election which could result in the country’s first hard right government since the Second World War. However, the Euro now seems to have found support, with the EUR/USD currency pair basing off the big quarter-number at $1.0750.
  4. In the Forex market, the strongest major currency since the Tokyo open is the Euro, while the Japanese Yen has been the weakest major currency.
  5. The Indonesian Rupiah is trading at a 4-year low, but a rate hike seems unlikely as President Widodo seems relaxed about the weak Rupiah. Bank Indonesia does not expect USD/INR to breach 16,300, but the price is trading right on this level at the time of writing.
  6. UK Claimant Count Change data released earlier today in the UK was worse than expected, suggesting a slowing UK economy.

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