The following are the most recent pieces of Forex fundamental analysis from around the world. The Forex fundamental analysis below covers the various currencies on the market and the most recent events, announcements, and global developments that affect the Forex market.
Forex Fundamental Analysis
Forex Fundamental Analysis
The British Pound has come under increasing pressure during the past several trading days as indications grow that economic recovery in the U.K. is tepid at best.
An important aspect of trading is that recovering losses is harder than losing them. While this may be true in a few aspects, this article will just focus on the mathematics involved.
The Japanese Yen is set to benefit from renewed fears about the pace of the global economic recovery. Increasing signs from the data released last week and from politicians’ comments in recent days all point to an anemic recovery at best, with little hope for a sharp rebound in the world’s major economies.
Crude oil has finished a head and shoulders pattern today, which began last week. Combined with oil closing below $70 today, it looks as though oil will make a move lower tomorrow.
The U.S. Dollar suffered sharp losses against the Euro on the first trading day of the third quarter. Reacting negatively to job loss estimates from private-sector payroll firm ADP, the Dollar shed nearly 1% against the EU single currency.
The poor economic news out of the UK will likely continue on into tomorrow with the release of housing and manufacturing data. We also get the same manufacturing data from the US as well as employment data from ADP.
The U.S. Dollar closed the second quarter with gains against the world’s major currencies. Against the Euro, the Dollar improved to € = $1.4032, despite evidence of historically low inflation within the EU bloc. Similarly, the Dollar was able to shrug off worse than anticipated consumer confidence results.
In early trade, the British Pound reached eight-month highs based on market optimism that an end to the recession will occur sooner rather than later. Positive data concerning prices of home sales and consumer confidence in the UK helped drive the Pound as high as $1.67 before backing off somewhat.
The U.S. Dollar declined sharply against major currencies on Friday after a Chinese finance minister was reported to have suggested that China consider alternate benchmark currencies rather than rely on the Dollar for its currency reserves.
U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) in a major change of sentiment the market the downside resistance of multiple currencies over a 24 period. USD was the one of the main gainers losing only to the Yen at the end of the day.
U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was unable to gain on the increase in risk aversion as multiple factors weighed. Oil jumped as US inventories dropped by 3.9M. US Current Account continued to worsen -101B vs. -85B forecast. US CPI jumped up 0.1% in May. Crude Oil closes down $0.56 to close the day at $71.03.
The USD saw a strong and sustained sell off in the US trading session today, despite equities ending the day overall flat. Oil made a break to $69 but came back to close at just under $71.
The markets are at a pivotal junction at this point in time. The confidence in the global recovery plan seems to be waning, taking the positive market sentiment with it. One of the primary causes to this shift in sentiment is the falling interest in foreign countries purchasing US treasuries.
Today we saw the US equities break beneath the current trading range. However, there was not enough momentum to force the market to continue in this direction, and it still remains above the up trending lows from the upward move that began in the middle of March.
As the broader markets struggle to find a consensus on direction, oil easily gained on the day closing up 85 cents.