The Aussie dollar is eyeing a breakout toward 0.7115 as USD weakness triggers a bear trap. Here are the key technical levels to watch.
Technical Analysis
About Tim Smith
Tim Smith is a Market Analyst at DailyForex based in Melbourne, Australia, with more than 20 years of experience in the financial services industry. He currently builds systematic digital asset trading strategies using Python, focusing on generating alpha with strong risk-adjusted returns, alongside more than 15 years of equities experience. Tim’s background includes an eight-year tenure as an execution trader at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Australia and earlier roles at Bank of America Merrill Lynch and Goldman Sachs JB Were, giving him deep practical insight into equity and multi-asset markets.
Areas of Expertise
- Equities and stock market tradingfxempire
- Systematic digital asset trading strategies (CeFi and DeFi)
- Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and American Depositary Receipts (ADRs)investopedia
- Technical analysis and short-term trade executionlinkedin
- Fundamental and macroeconomic monitoring for strategy impactfxempire
- Python-based trading system development and automation
Professional Background
- Systematic Trader (March 2016 – Present), designing and trading automated digital asset strategies including mean reversion, momentum, and long/short approaches, deployed via Python on CeFi and DeFi exchanges.
- Builder of fully automated Uniswap V3 liquidity-provision tools, including a live rebalancer that manages range-based liquidity, executes swaps, and interacts directly with smart contracts to adjust positions based on market conditions.
- Financial Freelance Writer (March 2016 – Present), contributing hundreds of news-focused technical analysis stories to Investopedia and FXEmpire that explain why stocks and cryptocurrencies move and highlight key chart levels for investors.investopedia
- Designated Trading Representative – Retail Desk at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management in Melbourne (January 2007 – February 2015), responsible for executing client and staff orders, sourcing liquidity, reconciling trades, and providing intraday analysis and commentary to financial advisors across the Australian network.
- Trade Processing Specialist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch in Melbourne (December 2003 – June 2007), handling trade processing and operational support for institutional clients.
- Team Leader – Settlements Officer and Relationship Officer – Equity Finance Client at Goldman Sachs JB Were in Melbourne (May 2001 – August 2003), overseeing settlements and client relationships in equity finance.
- Early experience at Bell Potter Securities in Melbourne as an Office Assistant, providing support to brokerage operations.
Financial Qualifications
- Over two decades of professional experience across trading, operations, and market analysis in equities and multi-asset markets.dailyforex.
- Extensive hands-on experience building, testing, and deploying systematic digital asset strategies, including performance tracking via Sharpe ratio, Sortino ratio, profit factor, and drawdown metrics on a custom-built dashboard.
Education
- Bachelor of Commerce (BCom) from Deakin University, Geelong, Australia (2000), with a focus on management and marketing.linkedin
Media & Industry Features
- Author and analyst for FXEmpire and Investopedia, where his articles focus on equities, ETFs, and cryptocurrencies, often linking news, fundamentals, and technical levels.fxempire
- Active in online trading communities and platforms, where he shares chart analysis, trading ideas, and insights from his work as a systematic trader.tradingview
Podcast & Market Commentary
Tim’s written commentary connects price movements in stocks and digital assets to earnings trends, macroeconomic data, central bank policy, and broader risk sentiment, while also considering how news events can affect the performance of systematic strategies. His work aims to turn institutional and algorithmic perspectives into practical, understandable insights for retail traders.investopedia
Trading & Market Philosophy
Tim’s trading philosophy combines systematic strategy design with disciplined risk management, reflecting his institutional trading background and current focus on Python-based automation. He emphasizes backtesting, forward testing, and ongoing optimization, along with careful monitoring of micro and macroeconomic developments to understand which news events are likely to impact strategies and market behavior.fxempire
Why Readers Trust Tim Smith
- More than 20 years of experience in the financial services industry, including institutional roles at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, and Goldman Sachs JB Were in Melbourne.dailyforex
- Fifteen years of equities experience combined with systematic digital asset trading expertise.
- Hundreds of news-focused technical analysis articles published on Investopedia and FXEmpire.investopedia
- Bachelor of Commerce from Deakin University in Geelong, providing a formal business foundation for his market work.
Latest 12 Articles
AUD/USD stays rangebound after a gap higher as traders watch Australian CPI, the Fed decision and key levels near 0.7000 and 0.6945.
Technical Analysis
AUD/USD had been trying to hold onto its recent recovery, but the tone has shifted. What looked like a relatively stable stretch has started to feel more fragile.
Technical Analysis
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Meta Title: AUD/USD Breakout: Can Bulls Target 0.7030?
Technical Analysis
AUD/USD holds recent gains after softer U.S. CPI and PPI slash July Fed hike odds, while traders watch key 1‑hour support and resistance levels.
Technical Analysis
The AUD/USD remains under pressure as investors and traders digest a flare up in tensions between the United States and Iran,
Technical Analysis
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