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USD/ILS Analysis: Technical Drama and Financial Institutions Nervous

By Robert Petrucci
Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.

The USD/ILS has turned in choppy conditions the past handful of days as financial institutions brace for the potential of more conflict via the ongoing Middle East military tensions.

USD/ILS Analysis Today - 07/08: Nervous Markets (Chart)

  • While media pundits talk about the potential of the Middle East conflict to become more violent, financial institutions which trade the USD/ILS have certainly produced choppy conditions.
  • However, even in the wake of more Iranian and Israel drama, the USD/ILS pair has reacted within a rather tranquil price range when taking into consideration the amount of hyperbole which is being spoken during the present circumstances.

As of this writing the USD/ILS is near the 4.78690 ratio. Traders are urged to compare this value to the market price as they are reading this article to gain a perspective on the current situation. Things can move fast in the Middle East and speculators who are pursuing the USD/ILS need to use risk management to guard against sudden spikes. The high for the USD/ILS occurred yesterday when the 4.85500 vicinity was challenged.

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Downwards Trend and Reversals for the USD/ILS

Financial institutions which have to trade the USD/ILS are certainly nervous. Even experienced large players need to think about risk analysis all the time. While the potential for an escalation in military conflict does exist, so does the possibility that sword rattling may create some loud moments but that there will be restraint. Thus, sudden movements of value in the USD/ILS should continue to be expected and speculators may also view current values in overbought territory.

The USD/ILS did touch a low of 3.78400 yesterday and this level appears to be a location where support is currently residing for the currency pair. A range of 3.77800 and 3.82500 has seen a lot of trading the past few days, but there have also been outliers as emotions shift behavioral sentiment in the USD/ILS constantly. Choppiness will continue to rule the USD/ILS until there is clarity.

USD/ILS Outlook Near and Mid-Term for Speculators

Timeframes are always important for traders. A day traders faces a multitude of differences compared to someone with a longer timeframe reference. The short-term in the USD/ILS will remain nervous and support levels may be a place that wagers can be placed to seek quick hitting moves upwards.

  • Until the Middle East tensions see a de-escalation of threatening rhetoric from Iran and Israel traders will remain on edge.
  • Technical considerations are important for support and resistance levels, but fundamental news is also playing a part in the USD/ILS.
  • However, it is important to trade on facts and not rumors.

USD/ILS Short Term Outlook:

Current Resistance: 3.79375

Current Support: 3.78170

High Target: 3.82160

Low Target: 3.77600

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Robert Petrucci
About Robert Petrucci
Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.
 

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