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Trading Support and Resistance – EUR/JPY

This week I will begin with my monthly and weekly Forex forecast of the currency pairs worth watching. The first part of my forecast is based upon my research of the past 20 years of Forex prices, which show that the following methodologies have all produced profitable results:

Let us look at the relevant data of currency price changes and interest rates to date, which we compiled using a trade-weighted index of the major global currencies:

Currency Price Changes and Interest Rates

Monthly Forecast May 2023

For the month of May, I forecasted that the EUR/USD and GBP/USD currency pairs would rise in value.

The performance of my forecast so far this month is as follows:

May 2023 Monthly Forecast Performance to Date

Weekly Forecast 14th May 2023

Last week, I forecasted that the EUR/AUD currency cross would rise in value. This was an accurate call, with the price ending the week higher by 0.03%.

Directional volatility in the Forex market will probably decline over the coming week, as there are fewer high-impact data releases scheduled for the coming week compared to last week.

Last week was dominated by relative strength in the US Dollar, and relative weakness in the Canadian Dollar.

You can trade my forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account.

Key Support/Resistance Levels for Popular Pairs

I teach that trades should be entered and exited at or very close to key support and resistance levels. There are certain key support and resistance levels that can be monitored on the more popular currency pairs this week.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

Let us see how trading one of these key pairs last week off key support and resistance levels could have worked out:


I had expected the level at ¥149.20 might act as resistance in the EUR/JPY currency cross last week, as it had acted previously as both support and resistance. Note how these “role reversal” levels can work well. The H1 price chart below shows how the price rejected this level right at the start of last Monday’s London session (which can be a great time to enter trades in major currency pairs like this one) with a piercing candlestick, marked by the down arrow in the price chart below signaling the timing of this bearish rejection. This trade has been nicely profitable so far, giving a maximum reward-to-risk ratio of more than 7 to 1 based upon the size of the entry candlestick.


Ready to trade our weekly Forex forecast? Here are the best Forex brokers to choose from.

Adam Lemon
About Adam Lemon

Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.


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