Market News

Markets are balancing extended ceasefire hopes with strong US data and upcoming UK CPI, as traders watch yields, oil, and Middle East headlines for direction.

USA / Iran Ceasefire Expires at 8pm Eastern Time Today; Markets Expect Peace Deal or Ceasefire Extension; USA Going to Pakistan Talks, Iran May Not Show; New Zealand Inflation Ticks Higher; US Retail Sales, Fed Chair-Designate Testimony Await

Iran/USA Ceasefire Expires Wednesday Morning; Prediction Markets Still Expect USA/Iran Deal in May, Ceasefire Extension This Week; US Military Attacks and Seizes Iranian Cargo Ship Near Hormuz; Iran Currently Refusing to Attend Pakistan Parley

Prediction Markets Expect USA/Iran Deal in May; S&P 500 Index Trades Well Above 7,000, MSCI World Reaches New Record High; WTI Crude Oil Finds Support Below $90; UK GDP Surprises to Upside

Optimism Continues Over Iran Deal, Trump & Vance Send Positive Signals; Stocks Higher, Crude Oil Below $90; Bitcoin Retreats from Bullish Breakout; Lower US PPI Data

Despite US Blockade, Optimism Rises Over Iran Deal; Stocks Higher, Crude Oil Lower, Bitcoin Threatens Bullish Breakout; Singapore Central Bank Tightens on Iran War, Markets Await US PPI Data

USA/Iran Talks in Pakistan Fail, Trump Announces Naval Blockade of Iran; Markets Open Strongly Risk-Off, but Recover; Crude Oil >$100 Barrel; Japanese 10-Year Yield Hits 29-Year High

Despite Confusion Over Terms, Accusations of Breaches, Iran Ceasefire Functionally Holds; Crude Oil, Stock Markets Begin to Stabilize After Impact; FOMC Minutes Show More Board Members Considering Hike Rates

Ceasefire declared; Core Durable Goods Surprises; Markets Celebrate; RBNZ Rate Decision and FOMC Meeting Minutes Today

ISM Services PMI Slightly Lower Than Expected; Much of Europe on Holiday; Tuesday is “Deadline” for Iran Resolution; Markets Reacting to Cancelled Briefing by Pentagon; Supply Chain Disruptions Starting to Weigh on Commodity Currencies.

Friday Was Holiday for Most; Non-Farm Employment, Unemployment Rate Surprise on Friday in Rare Holiday Release; OPEC+ Agrees to Boost Oil Output When Straight Opens; USD/JPY Continues to Flirt with Massive Barrier; Monday Holiday in Majority of EU Countries; USD/JPY Still a Pair Many Watching

ADP Non-Farm Surprises to Upside; Core Retail Sales in US Strong; ISM Manufacturing in US Also Strong; Trump States Iran “Asked for a Ceasefire”; Trump gives national address; Risk Appetite Returns

ADP Non-Farm Payroll expects 41k added in America, US Core Retail Sales are expected to be 0.3%, and Retail Sales are expected to be 0.5% as spending continues despite inflation. The ISM Manufacturing PMI reading in the US is expected to be 52.3, a slight drop of 0.1 from March. Iran now says it is ready to end the war, but with guarantees, while Trump claims talks are “going well.”