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BTC/USD Forecast: Rally Could be in the Works

By Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex...

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Bitcoin has been fairly noisy over the last couple of days, and the Non-Farm Payroll announcement on Friday was yet another thing to get it moving.

Bitcoin has been fairly noisy over the last couple of days, and Friday was no different. What I find interesting about this market at the moment is that we are dancing around the 50-day EMA, and it does look like we are still seeing buyers come in occasionally. I think we are in the midst of turning things around. We are consolidating, we are sitting just above a large, round, psychologically significant figure in the form of $90,000, but we still have a clear barrier of $95,000 above.

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If we can break above there, then I think Bitcoin has a chance of recovering and reaching the $107,000 level, which is my base case at the moment. That does not mean we have to do it right now, and of course, there are a lot of moving pieces, but it looks like the Federal Reserve got more confirmation for the need to cut rates during the non-farm payroll announcement during the day here on Friday, and that is part of why Bitcoin may have recovered.

BTC/USD Forecast 12/01: Rally Could be in the Works (Chart)

Market Resilience and Long-Term Outlook

If Bitcoin were to break down below the $84,000 level, then you might have a situation where there is a lot of trouble, but as things stand right now, it certainly looks like it is resilient and fighting.

It is going to be a long, slow grind higher, would be my guess, and quite frankly, that is the more sustainable path anyway. So, if you are a bit patient, this might be a decent market for you, but obviously, slow and steady will win the race here in the Bitcoin market.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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