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USD/MXN Analysis: Near-Term Support Ratios a Focus for Speculators

The USD/MXN came off highs produced on Tuesday of last week and began to see increased selling which created intriguing support ratios for short-term traders.

  • As of this morning the USD/MXN is trading near the 17.15250 ratio.
  • The price of the currency pair is traversing close to near-term support levels which developed on Friday when the USD/MXN briefly challenged the 17.12920.
  • While the lows from Friday did not test the values of the USD/MXN seen on early Monday the 22nd of January near the 17.05400 vicinity, they did demonstrate the ability of the currency pair to go into the weekend near important lower marks.

USD/MXN Analysis Today - 29/01: Focus on Support (Graph)

Volatility in the broad Forex market has been seen in January and the USD/MXN has correlated to other major currency pairs. Last week’s trading saw some early buying which took the USD/MXN to a high of almost 17.38560 on Wednesday, but then produce a rapid selloff which took the currency pair to lows on the same day which are now being tested.

Near-Term Considerations as the U.S Fed Lurks for the USD/MXN

Market conditions are likely to be rather choppy in the near-term as financial institutions brace for the U.S Fed’s FOMC Statement this coming Wednesday. USD/MXN prices are now hovering near important short-term support, this while a look at a one month chart shows the price realm to still be within the higher elements of its technical chart.

Traders who have been relentlessly pursuing downward movement from the USD/MXN cannot be blamed for believing additional selling opportunities exist. However financial institutions which have created some buying momentum in the USD/MXN and other major currency pairs during January based on the belief the USD was oversold in December are likely waiting for more impetus before they become bearish once again.

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    USD/MXN Lingers with Higher One Month Values

    Traders who believe more downside from the USD/MXN is going to develop should remain conservative early this week. If they want to be sellers they might want to wait for resistance levels to be challenged and look for potential technical reversals lower. However speculators probably should not bet on sustained selling in the near-term, this as the U.S Fed prepares to make its official monetary policy statement in the middle of this week.

    • If current resistance near the 17.16990 to 17.18100 prove durable, this could be a sign additional selling sentiment remains ready to ignite in the USD/MXN/
    • Support ratios short-term around 17.15090 17.14900 should be watched; if they prove vulnerable a test of the 17.11000 could be seen.

    USD/MXN Short Term Outlook:

    Current Resistance: 17.16990

    Current Support: 17.15010

    High Target: 17.18.100

    Low Target: 17.11300

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    Robert Petrucci
    About Robert Petrucci
    Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.
     

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