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EUR/USD Forex Signal: Breakout from Triangle Pennant Imminent

The technical picture is no much more bullish as we have seen the US Dollar start to weaken again, and the price here begin to test a very strong and long-term resistance level confluent with the big round number at $1.1000. 

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    My previous EUR/USD signal on 12th December could have given a profitable short trade from the bearish reversal at the resistance level at $1.0773.

    Today’s EUR/USD Signals

    Risk 0.75%.

    Trades must be taken between 8am and 5pm London time today only. 

    Short Trade Idea

    • Short entry following a bearish price action reversal on the H1 timeframe immediately upon the next touch of $1.1008.
    • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.
    • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
    • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 50 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

    Long Trade Ideas

    • Long entry following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 timeframe immediately upon the next touch of $1.0955, $1.0930, $1.0910, or $1.0848.
    •  Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.
    • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.
    • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to run.

    The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

    EUR/USD Analysis

    In my previous analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on Tuesday last week, I wrote that if we got two consecutive higher hourly closes above $1.0773 following the London open, the price would be likely to continue rising to $1.0815. If the price closed above $1.0815 at the end of the New York session, that would be a very bullish sign.

    This was a good call as the first part did come true and lead to a rise to $1.0815.

    The technical picture is no much more bullish as we have seen the US Dollar start to weaken again, and the price here begin to test a very strong and long-term resistance level confluent with the big round number at $1.1000. We are very close to having a confirmed, valid, long-term bullish trend also.

    The shorter-term technical show the price remains constrained within a narrowing triangle pennant and it will have to make a breakout soon. This could be the catalyst for a major bullish breakout into long-term highs above $1.1000.

    I will be happy to go long here if we get a New York close above the resistance level at $1.1008.

    EUR/USD

    Regarding the USD, there will be a release of Final GDP and Unemplyment Claims data at 1:30pm London time. There is nothing of high importance scheduled today concerning the EUR.  

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    Adam Lemon
    About Adam Lemon

    Adam Lemon began his role at DailyForex in 2013 when he was brought in as an in-house Chief Analyst. Adam trades Forex, stocks and other instruments in his own account. Adam believes that it is very possible for retail traders/investors to secure a positive return over time provided they limit their risks, follow trends, and persevere through short-term losing streaks – provided only reputable brokerages are used. He has previously worked within financial markets over a 12-year period, including 6 years with Merrill Lynch.

     

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