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S&P 500 Forecast: Shows Resilience, 4500 Level Resistance

The S&P 500 experienced a slight retreat during Friday's trading session before displaying signs of recovery. Notably, the Non-Farm Payroll report revealed the addition of 209,000 jobs in the previous month, along with a downward revision from the preceding period. In light of these developments, it is worth noting that the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average coincides with the significant support level at 4300. This suggests that buyers are likely to enter the market when pullbacks occur. However, the 4500 level above presents a formidable barrier, preventing a breakout. In this article, we examine the current state of the stock market, factors affecting its movement, and the potential scenarios that lie ahead.

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    The 4300 level, supported by the 50-Day EMA, is expected to attract buyers and provide a foundation for a potential market turnaround. On the upside, the 4500 level holds considerable psychological significance and has thus far acted as a strong resistance point. A breakthrough above this level would mark a shift into a "buy-and-hold" market dynamic. It is crucial to note that the stock market is currently being influenced by a limited number of prominent stocks, as evidenced by the chart patterns.

    • Should the market break below the 4300 level and the 50-Day EMA, a decline towards the 200-Day EMA, situated around the 4100 level, becomes a possibility.
    • However, it is expected that market participants would seek support levels below in order to reestablish long positions.
    • Overall, the stock market is characterized by noise and volatility, and it may take some time before any significant change in the overall trend occurs.

    Expectations lean towards continued turbulence, but ultimately a decisive move will be necessary. Until then, volatility and noisy behavior will persist. The market continues to witness demand during pullbacks, indicating the presence of value hunters. Additionally, an ascending triangle pattern seems to be forming, with the 4500 level acting as a significant barrier. A breakout above this level could lead to an immediate 150-point move based on the "measured move" of the triangle pattern.

    Despite a brief retreat, the S&P 500 demonstrated resilience in response to the Non-Farm Payroll data. The market remains supported by the 50-Day EMA at the 4300 level, prompting buyer interest during pullbacks. However, the 4500 level continues to act as a strong resistance point, constraining upward momentum. The stock market's current dynamics are influenced by a handful of prominent stocks, as evident from the chart patterns. A break below the 4300 level and the 50-Day EMA could lead to a decline towards the 4100 level. While noise and volatility persist, the market presents opportunities for value hunters. Additionally, the formation of an ascending triangle suggests a potential breakout above the 4500 level.

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    Christopher Lewis
    About Christopher Lewis

    Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex for several years. He writes about Forex for many online publications, including his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy.

     

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