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Silver Forecast: Silver Shows Resilience Despite Weaker Jobs Report

A breakout above the 50-Day EMA could pave the way for further gains, while a breakdown below crucial support levels could bring forth bearish pressure.

  • During Friday's trading session, silver price initially experienced a slight pullback but quickly turned around as the US jobs report revealed weaker-than-anticipated data.
  • This development exerted some pressure on the US dollar, allowing silver to rise.
  • Currently, the market finds itself hovering around the 200-Day Exponential Moving Average, indicating a state of relative stability.

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    Lack of Clarity in the Short Term

    The disappointing jobs report was a surprise to many who had anticipated stronger numbers based on the previous robust ADP report. Consequently, the US dollar faced some headwinds. However, a closer examination of the report reveals a mixed bag of data, as hourly wages recorded a slight increase. This suggests that the overall impact may not be as substantial as initially perceived, and the market is likely to maintain a similar trajectory.

    The silver market is currently situated between the 200-Day Exponential Moving Average and the 50-Day EMA, typically indicating a potential squeeze in price action. A breakout above the 50-Day EMA could lead to a move towards the $24.25 region, potentially even rallying to the $25 level. Conversely, a breakdown below the $22.33 level opens up the possibility of a decline towards the $22 mark. A further breakdown below $22 would bring into play the critical $20 level, representing a significant psychological and structural support level. Such a scenario would indicate increased bearish pressure in the market. In the short term, however, the market is likely to exhibit back-and-forth movement, indicating a lack of clarity.

    Despite a brief initial pullback, silver showcased resilience during Friday's trading session, buoyed by a weaker US jobs report. The subsequent pressure on the US dollar allowed silver prices to rise. Currently, the market hovers around the 200-Day EMA, displaying a degree of stability. The mixed reactions to the jobs report suggest that the overall impact may be less significant than anticipated. The silver market remains in a state of uncertainty, trading between key EMA indicators. A breakout above the 50-Day EMA could pave the way for further gains, while a breakdown below crucial support levels could bring forth bearish pressure. In the short term, the market is expected to continue its back-and-forth movement, indicating a lack of clear direction. Traders should closely monitor price developments and key levels to assess potential opportunities within the silver market. Furthermore, be cautious with your position size.

    XAG/USD chart

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    Christopher Lewis
    About Christopher Lewis

    Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex for several years. He writes about Forex for many online publications, including his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy.

     

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