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GBP/USD Forecast: GBP Consolidates Amid Inflation Data and Profit-Taking

Overall, while a short-term correction is anticipated, the prevailing trend suggests a bullish bias for the British pound.

  • The British pound showed limited movement on Friday, as upward momentum persisted.
  • However, as the weekend approached, many traders were inclined to take profits, leading to a relatively subdued trading session.
  • Recent market activity has been influenced by cooling inflation figures in the United States.
  • The perception that inflation may taper off suggests a potential drop in the US dollar, which, in turn, could contribute to further gains in the British pound.

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    GBP/USD Technical Outlook

    A short-term pullback could potentially drive the British pound back towards the 1.30 level, a significant psychological milestone. If a breakdown occurs below this level, the currency pair could further decline towards the 1.2850 level, which previously served as resistance. Notably, there is an uptrend line situated just below this level, along with the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Technical analysts closely monitor the 50-Day EMA, considering its influence on market trends.

    Conversely, a bullish reversal that propels the British pound above the 1.3150 level opens up the possibility of a move towards the 1.3250 level, and potentially even higher towards 1.35. Considering the overall market dynamics, it is likely that numerous buyers will step in to capitalize on perceived value. However, the market may be slightly overextended to the upside, warranting caution. Consequently, a short-term pullback could present an opportunity to acquire British pounds at a relatively lower price point.

    The previous session's candlestick indicated a bullish sentiment, although there is a prevailing notion that the market may have become slightly overbought. Thus, it is reasonable to anticipate some form of pullback in the short term. This potential retracement would create an opportunity to acquire British pounds at a more favorable price. In general, while the market is expected to continue its upward trajectory, the current situation suggests the need for a temporary correction.

    The GBP/USD currency pair displayed limited movement on Friday, with traders opting to secure profits ahead of the weekend. Recent market dynamics have been influenced by cooling inflation figures in the United States, contributing to the perception that the US dollar may weaken, potentially driving the British pound higher. Short-term projections suggest the possibility of a pullback towards the 1.30 level or even lower, accompanied by key support levels such as 1.2850 and the 50-Day EMA. Conversely, breaking above the 1.3150 level could pave the way for further gains. While the market may be slightly overextended, there is an underlying belief that buyers will seize opportunities to accumulate British pounds at more favorable prices. Overall, while a short-term correction is anticipated, the prevailing trend suggests a bullish bias for the British pound.

    GBP/USD chart

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    Christopher Lewis
    About Christopher Lewis

    Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex for several years. He writes about Forex for many online publications, including his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy.

     

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