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Crude Oil Forecast: Continues to See a Lot of Noise

Given the prevailing circumstances, this market is expected to remain highly volatile, warranting caution in determining position sizes. 

  • The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil market experienced an initial decline during Friday's trading session, briefly touching the $70 level.
  • This level holds significant psychological importance and generates considerable interest among market participants. Buyers swiftly entered the market, indicating their intent to seize value opportunities.
  • However, several factors are concurrently impacting the oil market, including concerns surrounding global demand.

Given the prevailing circumstances, this market is expected to remain highly volatile, warranting caution in determining position sizes. The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) currently resides above the $70.25 level and is in a downward trajectory. Over time, this level is likely to present significant resistance, suggesting that the upside potential might be somewhat limited. Conversely, if the market were to reverse and break below Friday's candlestick low, it could trigger a decline toward the $67.50 level.

In the case of Brent crude oil, it also faced an initial decline, breaching the $75 level and reflecting a negative sentiment. Similar to WTI, the $75 level holds considerable psychological significance and is an area closely monitored by traders. The market appears to be attempting a rebound toward the $77.50 level, which has recently posed some resistance. A successful breakthrough at this level could potentially target the 50-Day EMA. Conversely, a breakdown below the low of the Friday candlestick could trigger a move toward the $70 level.

Markets Are Expected to Remain Volatile

Overall, both WTI and Brent crude oil markets are expected to remain volatile, with fluctuations influenced by concerns over global demand and a perceived slowdown in the global economy. Traders should be prepared for back-and-forth movements as market sentiment oscillates. The ongoing uncertainty surrounding the level of global demand further adds to the challenges faced by these markets.

Ultimately, the WTI Crude Oil market witnessed an initial decline but found support around the $70 level, while Brent crude oil also experienced a negative start, breaching the $75 level. Both markets face challenges and uncertainties, driven by global demand concerns and a potential economic slowdown. The $70 and $75 levels represent significant barriers, with the markets attempting to rebound. Resistance at the 50-Day EMA and the possibility of further downside moves to underscore the volatile nature of these markets. You are advised to exercise caution, adjust position sizes accordingly, and monitor key support and resistance levels to navigate the ongoing questions about global growth.

Brent Crude OilWTI Crude OilReady to trade our Forex daily forecast? We’ve shortlisted the best forex broker list for you to check out.

Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex for several years. He writes about Forex for many online publications, including his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy.

 

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