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Silver Forecast: Continues to Look Overbought

Unlike gold, silver has a strong industrial component, meaning that pricing is heavily influenced by demand from the industry. 

  • Silver has continued to see back-and-forth trading, with the $25 level acting as a magnet for price.
  • The market has been overly bullish, but it cannot continue to go straight up in the air forever.
  • As such, investors need to be cautious with their position sizing and avoid getting caught up in the noise.

Unlike gold, silver has a strong industrial component, meaning that pricing is heavily influenced by demand from the industry. Investors need to keep an eye on the economy and be prepared for the possibility of reduced demand for silver in the event of economic struggles.

Despite being impacted by the economy, the silver market has been volatile, which is an issue not limited to this market alone. As a result, it is important to keep position sizing under control, given the market has been one way for an extended period and needs a correction.

If prices break below the $24 level, investors may see $23.50 as the next target, an area that has seen a lot of noise in the past. If prices continue to fall below the $23.50 level, investors may see that area as the new bottom of consolidation. This is because, in the past, the $23.50 level was a point of a consolidation.

Pay Attention to the US Dollar Index

On the upside, if prices break above the $25.50 level, it could lead to a move to $26, which was a major swing high a few years ago. If prices continue to climb beyond $26, investors can expect to see a significant air pocket, historically resulting in silver rising to the $50 level.

It is important to remember that the US dollar has an impact on the market as well, with a negative correlation frequently coming into play. For investors, it is critical to monitor the US Dollar Index in tandem with silver price movements.

TLDR; investors need to be cautious with their position sizing and not get caught up in the noise of the market. Silver's industrial component means that investors should keep a close eye on the economy, while the market's volatility requires careful monitoring. The $24 and $25.50 levels should be considered crucial support and resistance levels, respectively, and a break beyond these points could signal a larger price movement. Until then, caution should be taken as per usual with silver.

Silver

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex for several years. He writes about Forex for many online publications, including his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy.

 

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